New York forward signals
Predictive surface — what the platform projects, when each call is expected to resolve, and the score impact if realized. Resolutions feed the public Predictions Ledger.
129 OE/AAA determinations in the development footprint — 45 structures studied near airspace, tallest 1250 ft AGL; 38 crane/construction filings; 17 facility airspace studies.
Cumulative airspace-study footprint from FAA OE/AAA determinations geo-matched to this market — a development-intent indicator (towers, helipads, cranes studied for airspace effect). Density & composition, not a velocity claim.
Near-term (≤ 60 days)3
- Operatorhigh30-180 days for operational follow-up683 operator market expansion events tracked (612 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.683 events classified in last 90d, most recent 2026-07-01
- Infrastructurehigh60-180 days for operational follow-up39 faa certification milestone events tracked (35 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.39 events classified in last 90d, most recent 2026-06-30
- Infrastructurehigh60-90 days from filing5 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
Medium-term (60–180 days)1
- Infrastructurehigh3-12 months for build/permit cycle12 infrastructure development events tracked (6 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on approvedVertiport.12 events classified in last 90d, most recent 2026-06-30
Long-term (180+ days or unscheduled)0
Each forward signal here resolves against the public Predictions Ledger. First verifications start June 16, 2026; the public scoreboard ships with Pulse Issue 6 in July, after which every Pulse carries a running “Last Month's Calls” track record.
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