Forward predictions, resolved against observed events.

Concord airport site progress — a vertiport zoning action or an operator named for the first-phase site. Either would push Charlotte toward 55–60 (MODERATE).

Any operator-presence signal breaking zero — a high-confidence operator filing (site survey, MOU with a local authority, or service-route announcement). Projected +5 within 30 days.

Arizona registers at least one additional HIGH-confidence AAM-relevant signal — either operator-side (operator market expansion, infrastructure development, facility announcement) or legislative-side (further movement on SB1457 or SB1819, or a new AZ bill entering classification) — within 45 days of Phoenix Volatility publication.

Tampa registers a second high-confidence infrastructure or operator-expansion signal within 30 days of Florida Corridor Thesis publication. Resolves when a new IngestedRecord with affectedCities containing 'tampa' and eventType in {infrastructure_development, operator_market_expansion} is classified at MEDIUM or higher confidence within the window.

First CA rulemaking under SB 944. If it lands restrictive, regulatoryPosture downgrades friendly→neutral and LA drops 95→90 — the first negative score movement at the top of the index.

20 faa certification milestone events tracked (19 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.

infrastructure development — Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months Validation event only — charlotte already has full credit on approvedVertiport.

8 infrastructure development events tracked (6 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on approvedVertiport.

9 infrastructure development events tracked (5 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

21 operator market expansion events tracked (1 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

8 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

12 faa certification milestone events tracked (11 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

4 faa certification milestone events tracked (4 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months.

52 infrastructure development events tracked (3 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

SunTrax Air — Florida AAM Headquarters (under construction) — FDOT

3 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — cincinnati already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.

operator market expansion — Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow

2 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

operator market expansion — Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow

2 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

5 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

7 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

16 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

10 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.

Florida DOT plans to redirect ~$200M in unspent NEVI (EV-charger) federal funds into 32 eVTOL landing pads statewide (~$5.6M per site), under HB 1093 (signed 2026-04-20, effective 2026-07-01), which authorizes FDOT to fund up to 100% of public vertiport construction. Orlando's first vertistop was approved 2026-07-16 with construction targeted for Oct 2026. No Tampa site has been designated yet — which is exactly what this prediction tracks: a funded FDOT pad site named in the Tampa market would fire approvedVertiport (with zoning riding along), the market's stated gap in OMM #10. Routed from the audit gate as a real forward signal that is not current-state (program funded and legally enabled; no Tampa site, no permit, no construction).

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

4 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.

27 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.