Each entry is a rules-based prediction issued when a defined market-signal pattern fired. It resolves when an event matching the rule's criteria is observed in primary-source data within the window — or is marked invalidated/overdue if the window passes without a match. Same structural pattern as rating-agency credit watches and central-bank policy alerts. The discipline is in the rules + the resolution process, not in any single forecast.
Showing 81 open predictions · 1 resolved. Reader-tier detail pages document the signal trigger, resolution criteria, and factor reasoning for each.
faa certification milestone — Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months Validation event only — phoenix already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
6 regulatory posture change events tracked (1 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force. Validation event only — orlando already has full credit on regulatoryPosture.
Watson Island Heliport (occupancy pending) — Linden Airport Services Corp. d/b/a Watson Island Heliport Corporation
7 operator market expansion events tracked (2 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — tampa already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
28 operator market expansion events tracked (10 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — miami already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
15 operator market expansion events tracked (5 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
7 operator market expansion events tracked (1 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — atlanta already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
16 operator market expansion events tracked (5 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
15 operator market expansion events tracked (3 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — los_angeles already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
55 operator market expansion events tracked (23 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — houston already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
56 operator market expansion events tracked (24 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — dallas already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
60 operator market expansion events tracked (30 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
70 operator market expansion events tracked (53 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — san_francisco already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
42 operator market expansion events tracked (17 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — san_antonio already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
463 operator market expansion events tracked (424 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
5 regulatory posture change events tracked (1 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — las_vegas already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
6 faa corridor filing events tracked (3 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — dallas already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — miami already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — orlando already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
5 faa corridor filing events tracked (2 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — charlotte already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
7 faa corridor filing events tracked (4 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — los_angeles already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
9 faa corridor filing events tracked (6 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
5 faa corridor filing events tracked (2 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
7 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
5 faa corridor filing events tracked (2 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
4 faa corridor filing events tracked (1 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
29 faa certification milestone events tracked (26 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months. Validation event only — san_francisco already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
6 faa corridor filing events tracked (2 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
20 faa certification milestone events tracked (19 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
7 faa corridor filing events tracked (2 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
infrastructure development — Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months Validation event only — charlotte already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
21 infrastructure development events tracked (16 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months. Validation event only — los_angeles already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
5 infrastructure development events tracked (1 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.
8 infrastructure development events tracked (6 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months. Validation event only — new_york already has full credit on approvedVertiport.
6 infrastructure development events tracked (3 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.
SunTrax Air — Florida AAM Headquarters (under construction) — FDOT
regulatory posture change — Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force
regulatory posture change — Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force Validation event only — los_angeles already has full credit on regulatoryPosture.
regulatory posture change — Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force Validation event only — san_diego already has full credit on regulatoryPosture.
faa certification milestone — Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months
3 regulatory posture change events tracked (0 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force.
9 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — chicago already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
5 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
5 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
6 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — phoenix already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
4 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
3 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
5 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow.
3 operator market expansion events tracked (0 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — cincinnati already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
2 regulatory posture change events tracked (0 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force. Validation event only — austin already has full credit on regulatoryPosture.
2 regulatory posture change events tracked (0 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force. Validation event only — dallas already has full credit on regulatoryPosture.
2 regulatory posture change events tracked (0 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force. Validation event only — houston already has full credit on regulatoryPosture.
5 regulatory posture change events tracked (0 high confidence). Regulatory posture shift — typically follows executive order or task force.
infrastructure development — Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months
3 faa corridor filing events tracked (0 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
3 faa corridor filing events tracked (0 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
3 faa corridor filing events tracked (0 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.
3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.
2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.
2 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.
Market shows negative momentum; watch flagged deteriorating
Market shows positive momentum across recent signals; watch flagged improving
Market shows negative momentum; watch flagged deteriorating
Market shows positive momentum across recent signals; watch flagged improving
Market shows negative momentum; watch flagged deteriorating
Market shows negative momentum; watch flagged deteriorating