San Francisco forward signals
Predictive surface — what the platform projects, when each call is expected to resolve, and the score impact if realized. Resolutions feed the public Predictions Ledger.
2318 OE/AAA determinations in the development footprint — 82 structures studied near airspace, tallest 213 ft AGL; 109 crane/construction filings; 1996 facility airspace studies.
Cumulative airspace-study footprint from FAA OE/AAA determinations geo-matched to this market — a development-intent indicator (towers, helipads, cranes studied for airspace effect). Density & composition, not a velocity claim.
Near-term (≤ 60 days)4
- Infrastructurehigh60-90 days from filing7 faa corridor filing events tracked (2 high confidence). FAA aeronautical study cycle for corridor or facility determination.7 events classified in last 90d, most recent 2026-06-30
- Operatorhigh30-180 days for operational follow-up20 operator market expansion events tracked (14 high confidence). Operator announcement — follow-on operational events typically follow. Validation event only — san_francisco already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.20 events classified in last 90d, most recent 2026-06-30
- Infrastructurehigh60-180 days for operational follow-up27 faa certification milestone events tracked (22 high confidence). Aircraft certification milestone — typically precedes operator deployment by 2-6 months. Validation event only — san_francisco already has full credit on activeOperatorPresence.
Medium-term (60–180 days)1
- Infrastructuremedium3-12 months for build/permit cycle+15 pts3 infrastructure development events tracked (0 high confidence). Infrastructure development announcement — typical permit-to-operational cycle 3-12 months.3 events classified in last 90d, most recent 2026-06-05
Long-term (180+ days or unscheduled)0
Each forward signal here resolves against the public Predictions Ledger. First verifications start June 16, 2026; the public scoreboard ships with Pulse Issue 6 in July, after which every Pulse carries a running “Last Month's Calls” track record.
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