Predictions Ledger · Columbus, OH

Forward call · Columbus

Joby Aviation acquired real property in Vandalia, OH (Columbus metro) on January 7, 2026 per SEC 8-K filing. Operator-infrastructure forward signal: site is expected to mature toward approvedVertiport=true within the typical 6–18 month site-permitting + ground-prep horizon, producing a ~+10–15 point score move on the Vertiport factor when the milestone fires. Routed from the audit-gate as a real forward signal that is not current-state (Joby owns property; no permits filed, no construction, no operations yet).

Direction

Positive · +12 pts if realized

Confidence

HIGH

Window

operator-infrastructure horizon (6–18 months from acquisition)

Earliest expected

July 7, 2026

Latest expected

July 7, 2027

Status

PENDING

Generated May 21, 2026 · signal type: facility_milestone · context: Routed from ScoringOverride cmp8fvtpj00264ex80z8nvltd (rejected from score per audit-gate three-paths framework — real forward signal, not current-state). Decision basis: project_predictive_signal_routing_followup.md (May 15 2026) + feedback_audit_gate_three_paths.md.

Reasoning

Signal classification: facility_milestone. The pipeline emitted this call from a high-confidence classification of source events. Where a direct numerical delta is shown, it reflects the cited Forward Signals methodology; event-only calls carry no numerical score claim.

Resolution driver: approvedVertiport. This source-domain key is used to match the call to a subsequently observed outcome; it does not by itself imply a score change.

Source signal: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001819848/000181984826000040/joby-20260…

← All predictionsColumbus forward signals →