Predictions Ledger · New York, NY
Forward call · New York
First Albany UAM-enabling bill introduction. NY's next +20–30 move requires state legislation; no other factor lever remains given current weights.
Direction
Positive · +20 pts if realized
Confidence
MEDIUM
Window
60–90 days
Earliest expected
July 30, 2026
Latest expected
August 30, 2026
Status
INVALIDATED
Resolved
August 30, 2026
Actual delta
-7 pts
Verified by
PIPELINE
Actual outcome
predicted 20, actual -7 (opposite direction)
Generated May 31, 2026 · signal type: awaiting_decision · context: monthly_brief:may-2026
Reasoning
Signal classification: awaiting_decision. The pipeline emitted this call from a medium-confidence classification of source events. Where a direct numerical delta is shown, it reflects the cited Forward Signals methodology; event-only calls carry no numerical score claim.
Resolution driver: stateLegislation. This source-domain key is used to match the call to a subsequently observed outcome; it does not by itself imply a score change.
Source signal: https://www.airindex.io/publications/may-2026